FEDERICA BERTONICyber Geopolitics · AI Risk · Strategic Cyber Threat Intelligence
ANALYSIS

COMMISSIONED STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE

Cyber geopolitics and Strategic Cyber Threat Intelligence for boards

When a cyber campaign or geopolitical development affects a supplier, market, or technology on which a business depends, understanding the event is only the starting point. This service connects available evidence with the organization’s exposure, helping boards and senior decision makers identify which choices to prepare and which questions still require verification.

Request a tailored intelligence brief
A globe and connections illustrating international dependencies.
Illustrative image.

Start with the decision that needs support

The service is designed for boards, senior management, security and risk functions, advisors, and research teams assessing a defined exposure. It can support a supply chain review, preparation for a supplier discussion, or a scenario update when a general news digest would not establish which developments matter to the organization.

The initial question sets the relevant countries, sector, dependencies, and decision horizon, keeping the analysis proportionate to the need and to the information that can actually be examined. The engagement can also contribute cyber and AI analysis to commissioned geopolitical reports and interdisciplinary research.

Keep evidence, attribution, and interpretation distinct

The analysis examines relevant public sources and documentation shared within the agreed scope, distinguishing confirmed incidents from statements, claims, and interpretations. Where an attribution is reported, the dossier records who made it and what supports it. Where a geopolitical connection remains unproven, strategic relevance is examined through concrete dependencies rather than assumptions about the perpetrator or motive.

Deliverables for a defined audience

An executive brief connects exposure, scenarios, and implications with the recipient’s priorities. A GeoCyber dossier examines relevant actors, campaigns, and dependencies, preserving sources and attribution limits. An alert framework identifies signals to monitor and evidence that would require the assessment to change, giving subsequent updates an explicit basis. The proposal defines the format, depth, intended users, and any update schedule before work begins.

An illustrative supply chain question

A public incident at a supplier might prompt a business to establish whether the affected service is the one it uses, which alternatives are documented, and who could authorize them. The brief maps these questions and their consequences for the relevant functions, so that the prominence of the incident does not take the place of checking the actual dependency. This is an illustrative use, not a client case or a prediction.

Define the engagement before sharing sensitive material

For an initial inquiry, describe the general context, the decision to support, and the deadline without attaching confidential documents. The discussion establishes the analytical scope, recipients, and arrangements for sharing materials, allowing both parties to determine what can reasonably be delivered from the available evidence.

ILLUSTRATIVE DELIVERABLE

Illustrative board brief: a dependency that needs verification

This illustrative facsimile is neither a real case nor an incident report. It shows how a brief can connect a public development with the client’s decision. In this hypothetical situation, a business function uses an external provider while an outage notice leaves the affected scope unclear. Documents A and B are fictional materials used solely to make the method visible.

Illustrative deliverable template
Analytical stepFacsimile materialVerification and owner
Evidence to verifyHypothetical contract A: the function depends on provider X.Procurement checks the service, scope, and contractual alternatives.
Competing explanationsHypothetical notice B: a different component might be affected.The technical contact requests confirmation of the actual dependency.
Conditional decisionAn alternative would matter if dependency and unavailability coincided.The process owner checks feasibility and authority to activate it.

The deliverable would identify the decision question, missing information, and conditions that would require a different choice. This allows the board to distinguish the significance of the notice from its own exposure. The illustrative template can be reused by adapting sources, owners, and the decision to the agreed engagement.

Download the illustrative CSV template

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